The Market Number — What a Booked Estimate Actually Costs You | The Meta Ads Guy
The Market Number · Win your money back

You’ve Spent the Money. Now Answer the Question.

In fourteen days you’ll know exactly what a booked estimate costs you. Do your part and the number comes back bad — I send the $497 back.

Not a projection. Not an industry average. Your cost, in your county, for your trade, at a real budget — measured, and yours to keep whether you ever spend another dollar with me or not.

Get my Market Number $1,497 · 14 days · credited in full toward your first block
Real campaigns · real markets
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One honest question

What did a booked estimate cost you last year?

I want the honest answer, not the one you’d give at a chamber meeting. Not what you spent on marketing — you probably know that number, or your bookkeeper does. I mean what it cost to put one homeowner on your calendar with a pen in his hand.

Almost nobody can answer that. And it isn’t because they’re bad at business — it’s because nobody ever handed them the number.

Here’s what that costs you, and it’s more than the marketing. Every decision about growth gets made by feel. Should you spend more? Feels like no. Should you have quit last year? Feels like yes. Should you have kept going three more weeks? No idea — because “it feels like it isn’t working” and “it isn’t working” are two completely different statements, and you can’t tell them apart without the number.

That’s how most owners in your trade quit something that was two adjustments from working. And it’s how a few of them keep feeding something that never was.

The fix is boring on purpose

So let’s just go get the number.

Fourteen days of live paid traffic. Your county, your trade, at seventy-one dollars a day. At the end of it we count what actually booked, and we divide.

That’s the whole thing. It isn’t clever and it isn’t a system with a name. It’s a measurement — and measurements are boring on purpose.

Two fair questions

Why fourteen days, and why $71 a day.

Why fourteen days? Because anything shorter is noise. Meta’s system needs a stretch of consistent delivery before what it’s doing means anything — a four-day test measures its confusion, not your market. Anything longer than fourteen and you’re just paying for patience.

Why seventy-one a day? Because below roughly fifty a day, campaigns never get out of the learning phase, and a number produced inside the learning phase is a lie told with a decimal point. A thousand dollars over sixty days is seventeen a day. That’s not a test — that’s a receipt for nothing.

What happens, when

Fourteen days, start to number.

1

You pay. Ad-account access goes over. The campaign is built from the angle we wrote on your teardown call.

Day 0–1
2

Traffic goes live in your county at $71/day. You watch the spend move in your own account — because you own it.

Day 1
3

Leads come in. Your team contacts them. Everything is timestamped and you can see the log.

Day 1–14
4

We count what booked. We divide. You get the number.

Day 15
Real campaigns, real numbers

This isn’t theory. It’s what the work produces.

$8,844
in live ad spend managed across client campaigns
360
leads generated from that spend
$24.57
blended cost per lead across two verticals
Client / vertical
Spend
Leads
CPL
Kelly — Pet Executive Network
$2,147
107
$20.06
D1 Merrillville
$6,698
253
$26.47
Total
$8,844
360
$24.57

And here’s the point: your number will be your own. Different county, different trade, different budget — different number. That’s exactly why we measure it instead of promising it.

The offer · and what the money does

Fourteen hundred and ninety-seven dollars.

The Market Number
$1,497
$1,000 is your ad spend — it moves through your own ad account where you watch every dollar. I don’t hold it and I don’t mark it up.
$497 is me: building the campaign, writing the creative from the angle we found, running it, and sitting with you on day fifteen.
  • 14 days of live paid traffic in your market, your vertical
  • $71/day — the budget where the number is actually true
  • Your ad account, your pixel, every lead — yours
  • A day-15 call where we read the number together
  • The full $1,497 credits toward your first Standing Block
Get my Market Number Credited in full toward your first block — if you go forward, this cost you nothing.

The entire fourteen ninety-seven comes off your first block of appointments if you decide to do anything afterward. So if you go forward, this cost you nothing. It was a deposit the whole time.

Where I put my money next to yours

Do these three things — or the $497 comes back.

 
The condition
How it’s verified
1
Ad-account access granted within 24 hours of payment
Binary. Either it’s granted or it isn’t.
2
Every lead contacted within 60 minutes during your stated business hours
Timestamped in the CRM. You see the same log I do.
3
You’re on the call on day fifteen
Booked the moment you pay — on your calendar.

I’ll be straight about number two, because it’s the one that breaks. If your leads sit until the next afternoon, the number comes back bad — and it will not be the ads’ fault. I’d rather we both find that out in fourteen days for fourteen hundred dollars than after you’ve spent nine thousand and concluded that Facebook doesn’t work for your trade.

And notice what I’m actually guaranteeing. Not jobs. Not revenue. Not a certain cost. I’m guaranteeing that you get a real measurement — and that if you held up your end and the measurement is ugly, you’re not out my fee. Anybody who guarantees you results in this business is either lying or about to be.

The version where you close this page

Next September, same question.

Spring comes. The phone slows down in a way you notice but can’t explain. You think about running ads again, and the memory of the last time stops you — the leads that never answered, the report full of impressions, the four months.

So you don’t. You go back to referrals and the truck and hoping the season is kind. And it might be — plenty of contractors run that way for thirty years.

But you’ll be in exactly this spot next September, with the same question you couldn’t answer this September, still deciding by feel. And the guy four streets over who did get the number will be spending against it on purpose while you’re spending against a hunch.

Three honest reasons not to sit on this

None of them are countdown timers.

One — the season. If you’re in a seasonal trade, you build in the slow months or you don’t build. Fourteen days from today lands before the season does. Fourteen days from March does not.

Two — capacity. I run these for three new accounts at a time and do the work properly. That’s not scarcity marketing — it’s how many campaigns one person can actually write creative for. When the three are full, the next start date is the next opening.

Three — the credit. The fourteen ninety-seven comes off your first block if you move within thirty days of your results call. After that it’s a number you paid for and kept — still a fair trade, just not a free one.

Go get the number.

Fourteen days. Your market. A real measurement you keep — and if you go forward, it was a deposit the whole time.

Get my Market Number $1,497 · 14 days · credited in full toward your first block
P.S. — If you’re thinking you’d rather just try it yourself with a few hundred dollars and see what happens, I understand the instinct, and I’d tell you not to. Not because you can’t run an ad — because a few hundred dollars spread over a few weeks produces a number that isn’t true, and then you make a real decision based on a false one. That’s worse than not testing at all.
Smith Sales Solutions
+1 (219) 327-1859
© Smith Sales Solutions · +1 (219) 327-1859. The Market Number is a paid 14-day measurement engagement governed by a written agreement. Ad spend is paid by the client directly to Meta and is non-refundable. The $497 fee is refundable only if all three stated conditions are met and the measured result exceeds the threshold agreed in writing before payment. Client campaign figures and logos shown are from managed accounts, used with permission; individual results vary by market, trade, and budget. Nothing on this page is a guarantee of jobs, revenue, income, or a specific cost. Not legal or financial advice.